Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.189778 0.227417 0.267771 0.313962 0.365083 0.419656 0.482044
2025-02-16 0.133763 0.183023 0.240130 0.310007 0.392016 0.484114 0.594262
2025-02-23 0.093306 0.147000 0.214389 0.302191 0.410728 0.537904 0.695602
2025-03-02 0.061020 0.113295 0.184925 0.284458 0.413816 0.571423 0.773201
2025-03-09 0.044220 0.096188 0.173335 0.286546 0.439712 0.632017 0.884150
2025-03-16 0.029547 0.077827 0.156348 0.278429 0.450418 0.672749 0.970878
2025-03-23 0.023077 0.071241 0.155363 0.291793 0.489515 0.750224 1.105068
2025-03-30 0.015958 0.060687 0.145994 0.291286 0.508602 0.801368 1.206230
2025-04-06 0.010949 0.052295 0.138504 0.292304 0.529045 0.854118 1.309920
2025-04-13 0.007882 0.047026 0.135490 0.299649 0.558353 0.919046 1.430347
2025-04-20 0.005767 0.043155 0.134315 0.309516 0.591299 0.989293 1.558660
2025-04-27 0.004104 0.039525 0.132872 0.318498 0.622848 1.057930 1.685617
2025-05-04 0.002291 0.033329 0.124936 0.315806 0.636840 1.103026 1.782908
2025-05-11 0.001371 0.029835 0.122273 0.322118 0.664884 1.168533 1.908984
2025-05-18 0.000608 0.025128 0.115506 0.320067 0.679271 1.214486 2.008784
2025-05-25 0.000115 0.018907 0.102752 0.305006 0.671478 1.227548 2.062847
2025-06-01 0.000022 0.016538 0.099973 0.309160 0.695197 1.287086 2.182295
2025-06-08 NaN 0.012946 0.092031 0.301752 0.698863 1.316548 2.259552
2025-06-15 NaN 0.012497 0.094509 0.316505 0.740738 1.403958 2.419789
2025-06-22 NaN 0.010422 0.090339 0.316361 0.756641 1.452172 2.524646
2025-06-29 NaN 0.008771 0.087019 0.317662 0.774899 1.504064 2.635162
2025-07-06 NaN 0.007908 0.086637 0.325550 0.804941 1.574356 2.772736
2025-07-13 NaN 0.007344 0.087382 0.336044 0.839798 1.652405 2.922079